Despite an already strong run, Lecron Industrial Development Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300343) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 2.5% isn't as impressive.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.3x, you may consider Lecron Industrial Development Group as a stock to avoid entirely with its 7.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Has Lecron Industrial Development Group Performed Recently?
For instance, Lecron Industrial Development Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Lecron Industrial Development Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Lecron Industrial Development Group?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Lecron Industrial Development Group's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.4% decrease to the company's top line. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's alarming that Lecron Industrial Development Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Lecron Industrial Development Group have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Lecron Industrial Development Group revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Lecron Industrial Development Group.
If you're unsure about the strength of Lecron Industrial Development Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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