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Rare Earth Magnesium Technology Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:601) 76% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 20 15:27

Rare Earth Magnesium Technology Group Holdings Limited (HKG:601) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 76% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 78%.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Rare Earth Magnesium Technology Group Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Metals and Mining industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

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SEHK:601 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 20th 2024

What Does Rare Earth Magnesium Technology Group Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

Revenue has risen firmly for Rare Earth Magnesium Technology Group Holdings recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Rare Earth Magnesium Technology Group Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Rare Earth Magnesium Technology Group Holdings?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Rare Earth Magnesium Technology Group Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.7% gain to the company's revenues. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 52% overall drop in revenue. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 14% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Rare Earth Magnesium Technology Group Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Rare Earth Magnesium Technology Group Holdings' P/S?

Rare Earth Magnesium Technology Group Holdings' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

The fact that Rare Earth Magnesium Technology Group Holdings currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Rare Earth Magnesium Technology Group Holdings (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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