Unfortunately for some shareholders, the CervoMed Inc. (NASDAQ:CRVO) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 3.3% over that longer period.
After such a large drop in price, CervoMed's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.9x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 10.1x and even P/S above 57x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How Has CervoMed Performed Recently?
CervoMed could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on CervoMed will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
How Is CervoMed's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like CervoMed's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 116% last year. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 100% per annum as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 119% per year.
With this information, we are not surprised that CervoMed is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Final Word
CervoMed's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Biotechs companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of CervoMed's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You need to take note of risks, for example - CervoMed has 5 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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