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Optimistic Investors Push Zhejiang NetSun Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002095) Shares Up 29% But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 22, 2024 06:34

Despite an already strong run, Zhejiang NetSun Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002095) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 14% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Zhejiang NetSun is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 9.9x, considering almost half the companies in China's Trade Distributors industry have P/S ratios below 0.9x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SZSE:002095 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 21st 2024

How Zhejiang NetSun Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Zhejiang NetSun has been doing very well. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhejiang NetSun's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Zhejiang NetSun's Revenue Growth Trending?

Zhejiang NetSun's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 31% gain to the company's top line. Still, revenue has fallen 15% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 14% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Zhejiang NetSun's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Zhejiang NetSun's P/S Mean For Investors?

Zhejiang NetSun's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Zhejiang NetSun revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Zhejiang NetSun that we have uncovered.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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