If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating Sinofibers TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300777), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Sinofibers TechnologyLtd:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.06 = CN¥265m ÷ (CN¥4.5b - CN¥121m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Thus, Sinofibers TechnologyLtd has an ROCE of 6.0%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 5.4% average generated by the Chemicals industry.
In the above chart we have measured Sinofibers TechnologyLtd's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Sinofibers TechnologyLtd .
What Does the ROCE Trend For Sinofibers TechnologyLtd Tell Us?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Sinofibers TechnologyLtd doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 15% over the last five years. However it looks like Sinofibers TechnologyLtd might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a side note, Sinofibers TechnologyLtd has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 2.7% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
In Conclusion...
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Sinofibers TechnologyLtd's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Unsurprisingly then, the total return to shareholders over the last five years has been flat. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Sinofibers TechnologyLtd has the makings of a multi-bagger.
On a final note, we've found 2 warning signs for Sinofibers TechnologyLtd that we think you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.