Earnings Beat: Cisco Systems, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
Earnings Beat: Cisco Systems, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
Last week saw the newest quarterly earnings release from Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO), an important milestone in the company's journey to build a stronger business. Revenues were US$14b, approximately in line with whatthe analysts expected, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) crushed expectations, coming in at US$0.68, an impressive 51% ahead of estimates. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.
上週,思科系統公司(納斯達克股票代碼:CSCO)發佈了最新的季度業績,這是該公司建立更強大業務過程中的一個重要里程碑。收入爲140億美元,與分析師的預期大致一致,儘管法定每股收益(EPS)打破了預期,爲0.68美元,比預期高出51%。對於投資者來說,盈利是一個重要時刻,因爲他們可以追蹤公司的業績,查看分析師對明年的預測,看看對公司的情緒是否發生了變化。根據這些結果,我們收集了最新的法定預測,以了解分析師是否改變了盈利模式。
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Cisco Systems' 27 analysts is for revenues of US$56.0b in 2025. This would reflect an okay 5.8% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to increase 4.2% to US$2.46. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$55.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.33 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.
考慮到最新業績,思科系統的27位分析師目前的共識是,2025年的收入爲560億美元。這將反映出其在過去12個月中收入增長了5.8%。每股收益預計將增長4.2%,至2.46美元。在本業績發佈之前,分析師一直預測2025年收入爲559億美元,每股收益(EPS)爲2.33美元。從他們新的每股收益估計來看,分析師似乎對該業務變得更加看好。
The analysts have been lifting their price targets on the back of the earnings upgrade, with the consensus price target rising 8.2% to US$61.95. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Cisco Systems analyst has a price target of US$78.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$50.00. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Cisco Systems shareholders.
在收益上調的背景下,分析師一直在提高目標股價,共識目標股價上漲8.2%,至61.95美元。共識目標股價只是個別分析師目標的平均值,因此——可以很方便地看到基礎估計值的範圍有多廣。最樂觀的思科系統分析師將目標股價定爲每股78.00美元,而最悲觀的分析師則將其估值爲50.00美元。分析師對該業務的看法肯定各不相同,但我們認爲,估計的分歧還不夠廣泛,不足以表明思科系統股東可能會有極端的結果。
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's clear from the latest estimates that Cisco Systems' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 7.8% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 2.6% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 8.3% annually. Cisco Systems is expected to grow at about the same rate as its industry, so it's not clear that we can draw any conclusions from its growth relative to competitors.
了解這些預測的更多背景信息的一種方法是研究它們與過去的業績相比如何,以及同一行業中其他公司的表現。從最新估計中可以明顯看出,思科系統的增長率預計將大幅加速,預計到2025年底的年化收入增長率爲7.8%,明顯快於過去五年中每年2.6%的歷史增長。相比之下,同行業的其他公司預計年收入將增長8.3%。預計思科系統的增長速度將與其行業大致相同,因此目前尚不清楚我們能否從其相對於競爭對手的增長中得出任何結論。
The Bottom Line
底線
The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Cisco Systems following these results. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.
這裏最重要的是,分析師上調了每股收益的預期,這表明在這些業績公佈後,人們對思科系統的樂觀情緒明顯增強。他們還重申了收入預期,預計該公司的增長速度將與整個行業大致相同。我們注意到目標股價已上調,這表明分析師認爲該業務的內在價值可能會隨着時間的推移而提高。
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Cisco Systems. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Cisco Systems analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
考慮到這一點,我們不會很快就思科系統得出結論。長期盈利能力比明年的利潤重要得多。根據多位思科系統分析師的估計,到2027年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
It might also be worth considering whether Cisco Systems' debt load is appropriate, using our debt analysis tools on the Simply Wall St platform, here.
可能還值得考慮思科系統的債務負擔是否合適,在這裏使用我們在Simply Wall St平台上的債務分析工具。
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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。