China Ever Grand Financial Leasing Group Co., Ltd. (HKG:379) shares have retraced a considerable 31% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 40% in that time.
Following the heavy fall in price, China Ever Grand Financial Leasing Group may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Diversified Financial industry in Hong Kong have P/S ratios greater than 1.9x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
What Does China Ever Grand Financial Leasing Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, China Ever Grand Financial Leasing Group has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for China Ever Grand Financial Leasing Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For China Ever Grand Financial Leasing Group?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like China Ever Grand Financial Leasing Group's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 89% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 17% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's understandable that China Ever Grand Financial Leasing Group's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
What We Can Learn From China Ever Grand Financial Leasing Group's P/S?
China Ever Grand Financial Leasing Group's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of China Ever Grand Financial Leasing Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with China Ever Grand Financial Leasing Group.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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