Changchun Gas Co,.Ltd (SHSE:600333) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 38% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 15% is also fairly reasonable.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Changchun Gas Co.Ltd's P/S ratio of 1.5x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Gas Utilities industry in China is also close to 1.2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Changchun Gas Co.Ltd Has Been Performing
Changchun Gas Co.Ltd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Changchun Gas Co.Ltd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Changchun Gas Co.Ltd?
Changchun Gas Co.Ltd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 24% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 41% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Weighing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.
With this information, we can see why Changchun Gas Co.Ltd is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see average growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
What Does Changchun Gas Co.Ltd's P/S Mean For Investors?
Changchun Gas Co.Ltd's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
It appears to us that Changchun Gas Co.Ltd maintains its moderate P/S off the back of its recent three-year growth being in line with the wider industry forecast. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Changchun Gas Co.Ltd, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.