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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Topsports International Holdings Limited (HKG:6110)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Topsports International Holdings Limited (HKG:6110)?

股票下跌,财务状况良好:市场对滔搏国际控股有限公司(HKG:6110)的判断错误吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/22 14:35

It is hard to get excited after looking at Topsports International Holdings' (HKG:6110) recent performance, when its stock has declined 19% over the past month. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. In this article, we decided to focus on Topsports International Holdings' ROE.

在看到滔搏国际控股(HKG:6110)最近的表现后,很难感到兴奋,因为其股票在过去一个月下跌了19%。然而,该公司的基本面看起来相当不错,而长期财务通常与未来的市场价格走势相一致。本文中,我们决定重点关注滔搏国际控股的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股东要考虑的关键因素之一是净资产收益率或roe,因为它告诉他们公司如何有效地重新投资他们的资本。简单点说,它衡量了公司与股东权益相关的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股东权益报酬率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(来自持续经营) ÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Topsports International Holdings is:

因此,基于上述公式,滔搏国际控股的roe为:

18% = CN¥1.7b ÷ CN¥9.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to August 2024).

18% = CN¥17亿 ÷ CN¥95亿(基于截至2024年8月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.18.

‘回报’是年度利润。因此,这意味着对于每投资1港元,公司的利润为0.18港元。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经确定,ROE是一个公司未来盈利的高效测量工具。基于公司选择重新投资或“保留”多少利润,我们可以评估公司未来产生利润的能力。假设其他条件相同,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留比的公司通常增长速度较高,而没有相同特征的公司则通常增长速度较低。

A Side By Side comparison of Topsports International Holdings' Earnings Growth And 18% ROE

滔搏国际控股的盈利增长与18% roe的并排比较

To start with, Topsports International Holdings' ROE looks acceptable. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 8.3% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. As you might expect, the 5.3% net income decline reported by Topsports International Holdings is a bit of a surprise. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

首先,滔搏国际控股的roe看起来是可以接受的。与行业平均roe 8.3%相比,公司roe显得相当突出。正如你可能预期的那样,滔搏国际控股报告的5.3%净利润下降有点令人惊讶。因此,我们认为可能还有其他未在本文讨论过的原因,可能阻碍公司的增长。例如,公司向股东支付了其收益的很大一部分作为分红派息,或者面临竞争压力。

So, as a next step, we compared Topsports International Holdings' performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 3.6% over the last few years.

因此,作为下一步,我们将滔搏国际控股的表现与行业进行了比较,失望地发现虽然公司一直在缩减盈利,但行业在过去几年内以3.6%的速度增长其盈利。

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SEHK:6110 Past Earnings Growth November 22nd 2024
港交所:6110 过去的盈利增长 2024年11月22日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Topsports International Holdings''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

给公司的价值附加基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长相关。投资者接下来需要判断的是预期的盈利增长,或者缺乏盈利增长,是否已经体现在股价中。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是看起来有前景还是不妙。如果你在想滔搏国际控股的估值,可以查看其市盈率与行业的对比。

Is Topsports International Holdings Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

滔搏国际控股是否有效利用其留存收益?

Topsports International Holdings has a high three-year median payout ratio of 59% (that is, it is retaining 41% of its profits). This suggests that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This goes some way in explaining why its earnings have been shrinking. With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent. To know the 2 risks we have identified for Topsports International Holdings visit our risks dashboard for free.

滔搏国际控股的三年中位数派息比率为59%(也就是说,它保留了41%的利润)。这表明公司将大部分利润作为分红派息支付给股东。这在一定程度上解释了其收益为何在缩水。由于只有少量资金被再投资于业务,盈利增长显然会很低或根本不存在。要了解我们为滔搏国际控股识别的两个风险,请访问我们的风险特斯拉-仪表以免费获取信息。

In addition, Topsports International Holdings has been paying dividends over a period of five years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 70%. However, Topsports International Holdings' ROE is predicted to rise to 24% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

此外,滔搏国际控股在过去五年中一直支付分红派息,这表明尽管盈利在下降,管理层更倾向于保持分红派息的支付。根据最新的分析师估计,我们发现公司在未来三年的派息比率预计将保持在70%。然而,尽管预计其派息比率不会改变,滔搏国际控股的roe预计将上升到24%。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we do feel that Topsports International Holdings has some positive attributes. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE. Bear in mind, the company reinvests a small portion of its profits, which means that investors aren't reaping the benefits of the high rate of return. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体来说,我们确实认为滔搏国际控股有一些积极的属性。尽管如此,我们对其盈利增长的缺乏感到失望,即便其roe很高。请注意,该公司将小部分利润再投资,这意味着投资者没有享受到高回报率的好处。尽管如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示分析师们预计公司的盈利增长率会有巨大的改善。这些分析师的预期是基于行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击这里查看我们分析师对该公司的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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