Sichuan Guangan Aaa Public Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600979) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 29%.
Although its price has surged higher, Sichuan Guangan Aaa PublicLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.3x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 36x and even P/E's above 71x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Sichuan Guangan Aaa PublicLtd as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sichuan Guangan Aaa PublicLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Sichuan Guangan Aaa PublicLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 75%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 52% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 39% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we can see why Sichuan Guangan Aaa PublicLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Despite Sichuan Guangan Aaa PublicLtd's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Sichuan Guangan Aaa PublicLtd maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Sichuan Guangan Aaa PublicLtd you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sichuan Guangan Aaa PublicLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.