Zhongji Innolight's (SZSE:300308) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 70% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders
Zhongji Innolight's (SZSE:300308) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 70% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders
Zhongji Innolight Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300308) shareholders have seen the share price descend 15% over the month. But over three years the performance has been really wonderful. Indeed, the share price is up a whopping 385% in that time. So you might argue that the recent reduction in the share price is unremarkable in light of the longer term performance. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price.
中际旭创股份有限公司(深交所代码:300308)的股东在过去一个月里看到股价下降了15%。但是,在三年的时间里,表现非常出色。实际上,在此期间股价上涨了惊人的385%。因此,可以说最近股价的下跌在长期表现面前并不算什么。只有时间能证明当前的股价是否仍然反映了过多的乐观情绪。
Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 5.9%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.
由于长期表现良好,但最近出现了5.9%的回调,请检查基本面是否与股价相匹配。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
虽然市场是一个强大的定价机制,但股价反映的不仅仅是企业的基本业绩,还有投资者的情绪。一个不完美但简单的方式来考虑公司市场意识的变化是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化和股价的变化。
Zhongji Innolight was able to grow its EPS at 71% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. Notably, the 69% average annual share price gain matches up nicely with the EPS growth rate. This suggests that sentiment and expectations have not changed drastically. Quite to the contrary, the share price has arguably reflected the EPS growth.
中际旭创在三年的时间里能够以每年71%的速度增长每股收益,推动股价上涨。值得注意的是,69%的平均年股价涨幅与每股收益增长率相匹配。这表明市场情绪和预期并没有发生剧烈变化。相反,股价可以说是反映了每股收益的增长。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。
We know that Zhongji Innolight has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
我们知道中际旭创在过去三年内改善了其盈利状况,但未来会发生什么呢?您可以在这个免费的互动图表中查看其资产负债表随时间的变化(增强或减弱)。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Zhongji Innolight, it has a TSR of 391% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考虑投资回报时,考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异非常重要。TSR是一个回报计算,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何分红都被再投资)以及任何折扣融资和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付慷慨分红的公司,TSR通常远高于股价回报。在中际旭创的情况下,过去三年的TSR为391%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。而且,不必猜测,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
It's nice to see that Zhongji Innolight shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 97% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 34% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Zhongji Innolight better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Zhongji Innolight (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
看到中际旭创的股东在过去一年获得了97%的总股东回报,真是太好了。这其中包含了分红。这比过去五年年化回报的34%要好,暗示公司近期表现更佳。考虑到股价动能仍然强劲,值得仔细研究一下这只股票,以免错过机会。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有趣。但要更好地了解中际旭创,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们发现中际旭创有两个警示信号(其中一个让我们感到有些不安!)您在这里投资前应该注意。
We will like Zhongji Innolight better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我们看到一些大规模的内部买入,我们会更喜欢中际旭创。在我们等待的同时,查看这个近期内部买入明显的被低估股票(大部分是小盘股)的免费列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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