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Is Shandong HaihuaLtd (SZSE:000822) A Risky Investment?

Is Shandong HaihuaLtd (SZSE:000822) A Risky Investment?

山东海化股份有限公司(SZSE:000822)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/22 19:53

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Shandong Haihua Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000822) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

传奇基金经理李录(得到查理·芒格的支持)曾说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑某只股票有多大风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会拖垮一家公司。重要的是,山东海化股份有限公司(SZSE:000822)确实有债务。但股东们是否应该担心公司使用债务?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

当自由现金流或者以优惠价格筹资这些义务无法得到充分履行时,债务和其他负债对于企业变得具有风险。最糟糕的情况是,如果公司无法偿付债权人,它可能会破产。虽然这种情况不太常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司由于放贷人迫使它们以低价筹资而导致持股人永久性稀释的情况。这样说来,最常见的情况是公司合理管理债务,让其对公司有利。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先看的是现金和债务。

What Is Shandong HaihuaLtd's Debt?

山东海化股份有限公司的债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Shandong HaihuaLtd had CN¥252.6m of debt, an increase on CN¥141.1m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.82b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.57b net cash position.

您可以点击下方的图表查看历史数字,截至2024年9月,山东海化股份有限公司的债务为25260万人民币,比去年增加了14110万人民币。另一方面,公司还有人民币18.2亿的现金,导致净现金15.7亿人民币。

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SZSE:000822 Debt to Equity History November 23rd 2024
SZSE:000822债务权益历史记录2024年11月23日

How Strong Is Shandong HaihuaLtd's Balance Sheet?

山东海化有多强的资产负债表?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shandong HaihuaLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.58b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥612.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.82b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.41b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.04b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最近的资产负债表看到,山东海化有一个年内到期的负债为25.8亿人民币,另有61200万人民币的长期负债。 抵消这些义务的是,它拥有18.2亿人民币的现金以及价值24.1亿人民币的应收款项在12个月内到期。 所以它拥有10.4亿人民币更多的流动资产,超过总负债。

This excess liquidity suggests that Shandong HaihuaLtd is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Shandong HaihuaLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种过剩的流动性表明山东海化对债务采取了谨慎的态度。 因为它拥有大量资产,所以不太可能与贷款人发生困难。 简单来说,山东海化拥有比债务更多的现金是一个可以安全管理债务的很好指标。

On the other hand, Shandong HaihuaLtd's EBIT dived 13%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Shandong HaihuaLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

另一方面,山东海化的EBIt在过去一年下降了13%。 我们认为,如果这种表现频繁重复,可能会给股票带来困难。 毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上了解最多有关债务。 但山东海化的收入将影响资产负债表未来的表现。 因此,在考虑债务时,值得看一下收入的走势。 点击这里查看互动快照。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Shandong HaihuaLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Shandong HaihuaLtd recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最后,虽然税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冰冷的现金。 虽然山东海化在资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得查看其将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其构建(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度。 在最近的三年中,山东海化的自由现金流值相当于其EBIt的58%,这是正常水平,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税。 这笔冰冷的现金意味着它可以在希望时减少债务。

Summing Up

总之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Shandong HaihuaLtd has CN¥1.57b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we don't have any problem with Shandong HaihuaLtd's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Shandong HaihuaLtd that you should be aware of.

尽管调查公司的债务是明智的做法,但在这种情况下,山东海化有15.7亿人民币的净现金和一张看起来不错的资产负债表。所以我们对山东海化的债务使用没有任何问题。资产负债表显然是在分析债务时要重点关注的区域。然而,并不是所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们已经发现了山东海化的1个警示信号,你应该注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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