Angel Yeast (SHSE:600298) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Angel Yeast (SHSE:600298) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Angel Yeast Co., Ltd (SHSE:600298) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
霍华德·马克斯说得很好,相较于担心股票价格波动,‘我担心的是永久性损失的可能性……这是我认识的每位实际投资者都担心的风险。’ 当我们考虑一家公司有多风险时,我们总是喜欢关注它对债务的使用,因为债务过度可能导致毁灭。 和许多其他公司一样,安琪酵母股份有限公司 (SHSE:600298) 也利用了债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否让公司变得有风险。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般来说,当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过融资还是利用自身现金流。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所获。虽然这种情况并不太常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司因为贷款人强迫它们以贱价筹集资金而导致股东永久被稀释。当考虑一家企业使用多少债务时,首要事情是查看其现金和债务的整体情况,许多公司利用债务资助增长,并没有任何负面后果。
What Is Angel Yeast's Debt?
安琪酵母的债务是什么?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Angel Yeast had debt of CN¥6.75b, up from CN¥5.21b in one year. However, it also had CN¥1.74b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥5.01b.
下图,您可以点击以获得更详细信息,显示截至2024年9月安琪酵母的债务为67.5亿人民币,较一年前的52.1亿人民币有所增加。不过,它也有17.4亿人民币的现金,因此其净债务为50.1亿人民币。

A Look At Angel Yeast's Liabilities
观察安琪酵母的负债
According to the last reported balance sheet, Angel Yeast had liabilities of CN¥6.73b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥3.25b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.74b in cash and CN¥2.51b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥5.72b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
根据最后报告的资产负债表,安琪酵母的短期负债为67.3亿人民币,长期负债为32.5亿人民币。为了抵消这些负债,它有17.4亿人民币的现金和25.1亿人民币的短期应收款。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收款多出57.2亿人民币。
Since publicly traded Angel Yeast shares are worth a total of CN¥29.5b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
由于安琪酵母的公开交易股票总值为295亿人民币,因此这一负债水平不太可能构成重大威胁。虽然如此,显然我们应该继续监控其资产负债表,以免情况变坏。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我们使用两个主要比率来了解债务相对于收入的水平。首先是净债务除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA),而第二个是其税前利润(EBIT)可以覆盖利息支出的倍数(或简称为利息覆盖率)。 这种方法的优势在于我们既考虑了债务的绝对量(净债务与EBITDA)又考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(利息覆盖比)。
We'd say that Angel Yeast's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 2.3), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its strong interest cover of 16.3 times, makes us even more comfortable. Sadly, Angel Yeast's EBIT actually dropped 9.2% in the last year. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Angel Yeast's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
我们认为安琪酵母适度的净债务与EBITDA比率(为2.3)表示在债务方面的谨慎。而其强劲的利息覆盖率为16.3倍,让我们感到更为安心。可悲的是,安琪酵母的EBIT在去年实际上下降了9.2%。如果收益继续下降,那么管理这些债务将像在独轮车上送热汤一样困难。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是个出发点。但未来的收益比任何事情都更能决定安琪酵母能否维持健康的资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份展示分析师利润预测的免费报告。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Angel Yeast saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
但我们的最终考虑也很重要,因为公司不能仅凭纸面利润偿还债务;它需要真正的现金。因此,我们总是检查EBIT有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去三年中,安琪酵母整体上看到了巨额的负自由现金流。虽然投资者无疑期待这种情况将在适当时候逆转,但这显然意味着其债务使用的风险更大。
Our View
我们的观点
Neither Angel Yeast's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its EBIT growth rate gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Angel Yeast is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Angel Yeast is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...
无论是天使酵母将EBIT转化为自由现金流的能力,还是其EBIT增长率,都未能让我们对其承担更多债务的能力产生信恳智能。不过,它的利息保障倍数却讲述了一个截然不同的故事,并暗示了一些韧性。 当我们考虑所有讨论的因素时,我们认为天使酵母在使用债务方面正承担着一些风险。因此,虽然这种杠杆确实提升了股本回报,但我们并不希望看到这一比例进一步上升。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个良好的开始。但是,最终每家公司都可能存在那些不在资产负债表上的风险。 请注意,天使酵母在我们的投资分析中显示出3个警告信号,其中1个信号不容忽视...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
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