Is PriceSmart (NASDAQ:PSMT) A Risky Investment?
Is PriceSmart (NASDAQ:PSMT) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, PriceSmart, Inc. (NASDAQ:PSMT) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
傳奇基金經理李璐(查理·芒格支持的人)曾說過:『最大投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。』在評估公司的風險時,自然要考慮公司的資產負債表,因爲公司倒閉時往往涉及債務。重要的是,普爾斯瑪特公司(納斯達克:PSMT)確實承擔了債務。但是,股東們應該擔心它的債務使用嗎?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時才會真正成爲問題,無論是通過籌集資金還是利用自身的自由現金流。資本主義的一部分就是「創造性毀滅」過程,失敗的企業會被他們的銀行家無情清算。然而,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,企業必須以低廉的價格發行股份,永久稀釋股東,只爲改善其資產負債表。當然,許多公司利用債務來資助增長,而沒有任何負面後果。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用情況時,首先會將現金和債務一起考慮。
What Is PriceSmart's Debt?
普爾斯瑪特的債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that PriceSmart had debt of US$141.6m at the end of August 2024, a reduction from US$151.7m over a year. However, it does have US$230.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$88.4m.
下面的圖像可以點擊以獲得更多詳細信息,顯示普爾斯瑪特在2024年8月底的債務爲14160萬美元,比一年前的15170萬美元有所減少。然而,它有23000萬美元的現金抵消這部分債務,因此淨現金爲8840萬美元。

How Healthy Is PriceSmart's Balance Sheet?
普爾斯瑪特的資產負債表有多健康?
The latest balance sheet data shows that PriceSmart had liabilities of US$680.1m due within a year, and liabilities of US$219.6m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$230.0m in cash and US$42.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$627.5m.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,普爾斯瑪特在一年內到期的負債爲68010萬美元,另外在那之後到期的負債爲21960萬美元。抵消這一點的是,它有23000萬美元的現金和4230萬美元的應收款項將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債超過了其現金和(短期)應收款項的總和62750萬美元。
PriceSmart has a market capitalization of US$2.65b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, PriceSmart also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
普爾斯瑪特的市值爲26.5億美元,因此如果需要的話,它很有可能籌集現金來改善其資產負債表。但我們絕對想要關注它的債務是否帶來了過多的風險的跡象。雖然它確實有值得注意的負債,但普爾斯瑪特的現金總額超過了債務,所以我們相當有信心它可以安全地管理其債務。
Fortunately, PriceSmart grew its EBIT by 8.5% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine PriceSmart's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
幸運的是,普爾斯瑪特在過去一年中EBIT增長了8.5%,使得債務負擔看起來更加可管理。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個顯而易見的起點。但未來的收益,尤其是將決定普爾斯瑪特未來是否能維持健康的資產負債表。因此,如果你想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會覺得這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告非常有趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While PriceSmart has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, PriceSmart's free cash flow amounted to 26% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
最後,公司只能用冷硬的現金來償還債務,而不是會計利潤。雖然普爾斯瑪特在其資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得關注其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們理解它在多快的時間內建設(或削減)這一現金餘額。在過去三年中,普爾斯瑪特的自由現金流僅佔其EBIT的26%,低於我們的預期。在償還債務時,這並不理想。
Summing Up
總結
While PriceSmart does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$88.4m. On top of that, it increased its EBIT by 8.5% in the last twelve months. So we don't have any problem with PriceSmart's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for PriceSmart you should know about.
雖然普爾斯瑪特的負債超過流動資產,但它還擁有淨現金8840萬美元。除此之外,它在過去十二個月中將EBIT提高了8.5%。因此,我們對普爾斯瑪特債務的使用沒有任何問題。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。這些風險可能難以發現。每個公司都有這些風險,我們已經發現普爾斯瑪特有1個警告信號你應該知道。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資那些能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的業務,請查看這個自由名單,其中列出了在資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業。
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