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It's Down 28% But Shineco, Inc. (NASDAQ:SISI) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 23 21:44

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Shineco, Inc. (NASDAQ:SISI) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 89% share price decline.

After such a large drop in price, Shineco's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Personal Products industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.5x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

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NasdaqCM:SISI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 23rd 2024

What Does Shineco's Recent Performance Look Like?

Shineco certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shineco will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Shineco's Revenue Growth Trending?

Shineco's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an explosive gain to the company's top line. The amazing performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 291% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 3.3% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that Shineco is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Shineco's P/S

Shineco's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Personal Products companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Shineco revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Shineco you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shineco's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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