The CSMall Group Limited (HKG:1815) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 24% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about CSMall Group's P/S ratio of 0.6x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Specialty Retail industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
SEHK:1815 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 24th 2024
How CSMall Group Has Been Performing
For example, consider that CSMall Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on CSMall Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is CSMall Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, CSMall Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 67%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 9.9% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that CSMall Group's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From CSMall Group's P/S?
CSMall Group's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that CSMall Group's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with CSMall Group (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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