Recent 9.9% Pullback Isn't Enough to Hurt Long-term JCET Group (SHSE:600584) Shareholders, They're Still up 91% Over 5 Years
Recent 9.9% Pullback Isn't Enough to Hurt Long-term JCET Group (SHSE:600584) Shareholders, They're Still up 91% Over 5 Years
Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. For example, long term JCET Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600584) shareholders have enjoyed a 88% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 19% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 27% in the last year, including dividends.
一般来说,积极的股票选择的目的是找到提供高于市场平均回报的公司。虽然积极的股票选择涉及风险(并需要分散投资),但也可以提供超额回报。例如,长期持有JCEt集团股份有限公司(SHSE:600584)的股东在过去五年中享受了股价上涨了88%,远远超过了大约19%的市场回报(不包括股息)。然而,近期的回报并不像那样令人印象深刻,该股去年仅获得27%的回报,包括股息。
Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 9.9%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.
由于长期表现良好,但最近出现了9.9%的回落,让我们检查一下基本面是否与股价匹配。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
不可否认的是,市场有时是高效的,但价格并不总是反映潜在的商业表现。一个不完美但简单的方法来考虑公司市场感知如何改变是比较每股收益(EPS)变化和股价变动。
During the five years of share price growth, JCET Group moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we'd hope to see the share price to rise.
在股价增长的五年期间,JCEt集团从亏损转为盈利。这通常被认为是积极的,因此我们希望看到股价上涨。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了EPS随时间的变化情况(如果您单击该图像,则可以查看更多详细信息)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在购买或出售股票之前,我们始终建议对历史增长趋势进行仔细研究,可以在这里找到相关信息。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of JCET Group, it has a TSR of 91% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
对于任何特定股票,考虑总股东回报以及股价回报都很重要。TSR是一种回报计算,考虑现金股利的价值(假设任何收到的股利都进行了再投资),以及任何折扣的增资和剥离的计算价值。因此,对于支付慷慨股利的公司,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。就JCEt集团而言,过去5年的TSR为91%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。公司支付的股利因此提高了总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
We're pleased to report that JCET Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 27% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 14% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. Is JCET Group cheap compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
我们很高兴地报告,JCEt集团股东在过去一年内获得了27%的总股东回报。当然,这包括股利。这比过去半个世纪的年化回报14%更好,这意味着公司最近表现更好。持乐观态度的人可能会认为TSR的最近改善表明企业本身随着时间变得更好。JCEt集团相对于其他公司便宜吗?这3个估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果您和我一样,那么您一定不想错过这份免费的被内部人员买入的低估小盘股清单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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