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Take Care Before Jumping Onto Wolfspeed, Inc. (NYSE:WOLF) Even Though It's 43% Cheaper

Simply Wall St ·  13:55

Wolfspeed, Inc. (NYSE:WOLF) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 43% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 75% loss during that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, Wolfspeed's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Semiconductor industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4x and even P/S above 9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

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NYSE:WOLF Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 25th 2024

How Wolfspeed Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for Wolfspeed as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Wolfspeed.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Wolfspeed would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.6%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 42% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 32% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 25% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we find it odd that Wolfspeed is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Wolfspeed's P/S?

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Wolfspeed's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

To us, it seems Wolfspeed currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Wolfspeed (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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