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Health Check: How Prudently Does Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd (SHSE:601777) Use Debt?

Health Check: How Prudently Does Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd (SHSE:601777) Use Debt?

健康檢查:力帆科技集團股份有限公司(SHSE:601777)如何謹慎地使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  11/25 19:24

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Lifan Technology(Group)Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601777) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

伯克希爾哈撤威的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄認爲:「最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。」看來聰明的錢知道,債務(通常涉及破產)是評估公司風險性時非常重要的因素。我們可以看到,力帆科技(集團)股份有限公司(SHSE:601777)在業務中使用了債務。但這種債務會不會讓股東擔憂呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果企業無力償還貸款,就處於貸款方的掌控之下。如果情況真的變得很糟糕,貸款方可以接管企業。然而,一種更經常發生的(但仍然代價昂貴)情況是,一家公司必須以極低的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東的股份,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,負債的好處是,它通常代表着廉價的資本,特別是當它代替具有高回報能力的公司的稀釋時。考慮企業使用多少負債時,首先要做的是將其現金和債務放在一起看。

What Is Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd's Debt?

力帆科技(集團)股份有限公司的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd had CN¥2.01b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥2.80b, one year before. But it also has CN¥3.24b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.23b net cash.

您可以點擊下方的圖表查看歷史數據,但它顯示力帆科技(集團)股份有限公司於2024年9月有20.1億元的債務,低於之前一年的28億元。但它也有32.4億元的現金來抵銷,意味着它有12.3億元的淨現金。

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SHSE:601777 Debt to Equity History November 26th 2024
SHSE:601777債務權益歷史數據,2024年11月26日

How Healthy Is Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd's Balance Sheet?

力帆科技(集團)股份有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd had liabilities of CN¥7.12b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.97b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.24b and CN¥1.60b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥4.26b.

從最近的資產負債表可以看出,力帆科技(集團)有限公司的到期負債中有71.2億元人民幣是在一年內到期的,而19.7億元人民幣是逾期的。另一方面,公司有32.4億元人民幣的現金和16億元人民幣的應收款項在一年內到期。因此,債務超過了現金和(短期)應收款項的總和42.6億元人民幣。

Since publicly traded Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd shares are worth a total of CN¥32.0b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

公開交易的力帆科技(集團)股票總值爲320億元人民幣,這個程度的負債看起來不太可能構成重大威脅。但是有足夠的負債,我們肯定建議股東繼續監控資產負債表。雖然它確實有值得注意的負債,但力帆科技(集團)也比債務多,所以我們相當確信它可以安全地管理債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得的關於債務的大部分信息。但你不能孤立地看待債務;因爲力帆科技(集團)需要盈利來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得關注盈利趨勢。點擊這裏查看交互性摘要。

In the last year Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 5.5%, to CN¥7.3b. We would much prefer see growth.

在過去一年,力帆科技(集團)公司利潤稅前虧損,並實際收入下降了5.5%,爲73億元人民幣。我們更希望看到增長。

So How Risky Is Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd?

那麼力帆科技(集團)股份有限公司到底有多大的風險?

While Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥2.4m. So when you consider it has net cash, along with the statutory profit, the stock probably isn't as risky as it might seem, at least in the short term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd that you should be aware of before investing here.

雖然力帆科技(集團)公司在利息和稅前收益(EBIT)水平上虧損,但實際上取得了240萬元的紙面利潤。因此,考慮到公司淨現金以及法定利潤,至少在短期內,股票可能並不像看起來那麼風險。在我們看到一些正面EBIt之前,我們對該股持謹慎態度,其中主要原因是收入增長相當溫和。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了關於債務的大部分信息。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。例如,我們發現了力帆科技(集團)公司的兩個警示指標,你在投資之前應該注意。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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