China Hongbao Holdings Limited (HKG:8316) shares have retraced a considerable 42% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 57% share price decline.
Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Construction industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.3x, you may still consider China Hongbao Holdings as a stock not worth researching with its 2.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
SEHK:8316 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 26th 2024
How Has China Hongbao Holdings Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at China Hongbao Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on China Hongbao Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, China Hongbao Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 38%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 61% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 9.2% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why China Hongbao Holdings' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.
The Final Word
Even after such a strong price drop, China Hongbao Holdings' P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of China Hongbao Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. In the eyes of shareholders, the probability of a continued growth trajectory is great enough to prevent the P/S from pulling back. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for China Hongbao Holdings (3 make us uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。