Dongwu Cement International Limited (HKG:695) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 40% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 23% over that time.
Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Dongwu Cement International is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.8x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Basic Materials industry have P/S ratios below 0.5x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Has Dongwu Cement International Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Dongwu Cement International's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Dongwu Cement International's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Dongwu Cement International's Revenue Growth Trending?
Dongwu Cement International's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 12%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 56% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 7.1% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Dongwu Cement International's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Dongwu Cement International's P/S
The strong share price surge has lead to Dongwu Cement International's P/S soaring as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Dongwu Cement International revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Dongwu Cement International has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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