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Shanghai Trendzone Holdings Group Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603030) 26% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

上海トレンドゾーンホールディングスグループ株式会社(SHSE:603030)の株価急騰26%は、完全に理にかなっていません

Simply Wall St ·  11/26 17:36

Shanghai Trendzone Holdings Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603030) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 13% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Professional Services industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 3.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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SHSE:603030 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 26th 2024

How Has Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 40% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 82% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 28% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd's P/S

Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We find it unexpected that Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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