Despite an already strong run, Hunan Gold Corporation Limited (SZSE:002155) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 34% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 90%.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Hunan Gold's P/E ratio of 34.7x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in China is also close to 35x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
Recent times have been pleasing for Hunan Gold as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings will be less resilient moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Hunan Gold.How Is Hunan Gold's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hunan Gold would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 60%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 156% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 48% over the next year. With the market only predicted to deliver 39%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's curious that Hunan Gold's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On Hunan Gold's P/E
Hunan Gold appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Hunan Gold's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Hunan Gold that you should be aware of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.