The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock (SZSE:000690) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock (SZSE:000690) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000690) share price has gained 12% in the last three months. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. After all, the share price is down 20% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.
雖然不是一個令人興奮的舉動,但很高興看到廣東寶利華新能源股份有限公司(SZSE: 000690)的股價在過去三個月中上漲了12%。但這並不能改變這樣一個事實,即過去五年的回報並不令人滿意。畢竟,當時股價下跌了20%,表現大大低於市場。
Since Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock has shed CN¥392m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
由於廣東寶利華新能源股票在過去7天內已從其價值下跌39200萬元人民幣,讓我們看看長期下跌是否是由該企業的經濟推動的。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
引用巴菲特的話說:「船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...」研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
While the share price declined over five years, Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 21% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
儘管股價在五年內下跌,但廣東寶利華新能源股票實際上設法將每股收益平均每年增加21%。鑑於股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑每股收益並不能很好地指導該期間的業務表現(可能是由於一次性的虧損或收益)。或者,過去的增長預期可能不合理。
It's strange to see such muted share price performance despite sustained growth. Perhaps a clue lies in other metrics.
儘管持續增長,但股價表現卻如此低迷,這很奇怪。也許線索在於其他指標。
We note that the dividend has remained healthy, so that wouldn't really explain the share price drop. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.
我們注意到股息一直保持健康,因此這並不能真正解釋股價下跌的原因。我們目前尚不清楚爲什麼股價下跌,但進一步的研究可能會提供一些答案。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。
We know that Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
我們知道廣東寶利華新能源股票最近利潤有所提高,但是未來會發生什麼呢?因此,我們建議您查看這份顯示共識預測的免費報告
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock's TSR for the last 5 years was -6.8%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。碰巧的是,廣東寶利華新能源股票在過去5年的股東總回報率爲-6.8%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While the broader market gained around 5.3% in the last year, Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock shareholders lost 1.4% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 1.3% doled out over the last five years. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
儘管去年整體市場上漲了約5.3%,但廣東寶利華新能源股票的股東卻下跌了1.4%(甚至包括股息)。但是,請記住,即使是最好的股票有時也會在十二個月內表現不如市場。不幸的是,鑑於過去五年中損失了1.3%,長期股東遭受的損失更加嚴重。我們需要看到關鍵指標的持續改善,然後才能激起極大的熱情。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。即便如此,請注意,廣東寶利華新能源股票在我們的投資分析中顯示了1個警告信號,你應該知道...
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果你像我一樣,那麼你一定不想錯過這份內部人士正在買入的被低估的小盤股的免費清單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。