Is Avicopter Plc's (SHSE:600038) Stock Price Struggling As A Result Of Its Mixed Financials?
Is Avicopter Plc's (SHSE:600038) Stock Price Struggling As A Result Of Its Mixed Financials?
With its stock down 8.2% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Avicopter (SHSE:600038). It is possible that the markets have ignored the company's differing financials and decided to lean-in to the negative sentiment. Stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Avicopter's ROE today.
在过去一个月中,航空工业直升机(SHSE:600038)的股票下跌了8.2%。市场可能忽视了该公司不同的财务状况,并决定倾向于负面情绪。股票价格通常受到公司长期财务表现的驱动,因此我们决定更加关注公司的财务表现。特别地,我们今天将关注航空工业直升机的roe。
Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.
股东必须考虑股本回报率或ROE,因为它告诉他们公司如何有效地重新投资他们的资本。 简而言之,ROE显示每美元股东投资所产生的利润。
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
如何计算净资产收益率?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
股东权益报酬率可以使用以下公式计算:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
净资产收益率 = 净利润(来自持续经营) ÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Avicopter is:
所以,根据上述公式,Avicopter的ROE为:
1.2% = CN¥199m ÷ CN¥16b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
1.2% = CN¥19900万 ÷ CN¥160亿(基于截至2024年9月的过去12个月)。
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.01.
‘回报’是上个十二个月内税后赚的金额。这意味着对于每一元股东投资,该公司的利润是CN¥0.01。
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
roe与盈利增长有何关系?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.
到目前为止,我们已经知道roe衡量公司生成利润的效率。根据公司选择再投资或“保留”的利润的多少,我们能够评估公司未来生成利润的能力。一般而言,在其他条件相等的情况下,roe和盈利保留较高的公司,比没有这些属性的公司增长率更高。
A Side By Side comparison of Avicopter's Earnings Growth And 1.2% ROE
关于中航工业直升机盈利增长和1.2% roe的并排比较
It is quite clear that Avicopter's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 5.0%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Avicopter's five year net income decline of 8.4% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.
很明显,中航工业直升机的roe相当低。即使与行业平均水平5.0%相比,roe的数字也令人失望。因此,考虑到其较低的roe,中航工业直升机五年的净利润下降8.4%并不令人惊讶。我们认为这里可能还存在其他因素,例如:低盈利留存率或资本配置不当。
However, when we compared Avicopter's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 13% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.
然而,当我们将中航工业直升机的增长与行业进行比较时,我们发现虽然公司的盈利在减少,但在同一时期,行业的盈利增长达到了13%。这让人颇为担忧。
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Avicopter is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
盈利增长是股票估值的一个重要因素。投资者接下来需要判断的是预计的盈利增长,或者说缺乏盈利增长,是否已经反映在股价中。通过这样做,他们将会了解股票是进入了清澈的沃特世,还是等待泥泞的水域。一个有效的预计盈利增长指标是市盈率,它判断市场愿意为一只股票支付的价格,基于其盈利前景。因此,你可以查看一下复兴直升机的市盈率是高还是低,相对其行业板块。
Is Avicopter Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
复兴直升机是否合理利用其净利润?
Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 30% (where it is retaining 70% of its profits), Avicopter has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.
尽管有一个正常的三年中位数派息比率为30%(这意味着它保留了70%的净利润),复兴直升机的盈利却如上所述出现了下降。看起来可能还有其他原因解释这一点。例如,业务可能正在衰退。
Moreover, Avicopter has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.
此外,复兴直升机已经支付分红派息至少十年或更长时间,这表明管理层必须认为股东更喜欢分红派息而不是盈利增长。
Summary
总结
In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Avicopter's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
总的来说,我们对航空工业直升机的表现有些模棱两可。尽管它似乎保持着大部分利润,但由于低roe,投资者可能并没有从所有再投资中获益。低收益增长表明我们的理论是正确的。话虽如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,分析师们预计公司的收益增长率将会有巨大的改善。这些分析师的预期是基于行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击这里查看我们分析师对该公司的预测页面。
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