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We Think HONG RI DA Technology (SZSE:301285) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think HONG RI DA Technology (SZSE:301285) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我們認爲HONG RI DA Technology(SZSE:301285)正冒一些風險,因爲其債務水平較高
Simply Wall St ·  11/27 09:52

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that HONG RI DA Technology Company Limited (SZSE:301285) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人說波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾著名地表示「波動性遠非風險的同義詞。」 當我們考慮一家公司有多風險時,我們總是喜歡關注其債務的使用,因爲債務過重可能導致毀滅。 我們可以看到,鴻日達科技有限公司(SZSE:301285)確實在其業務中使用了債務。 但是,這些債務對股東而言是否是個問題呢?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當企業無法輕鬆用自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌資來履行債務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲業務的風險因素。 最壞的情況是,如果一家公司無法償還債權人,就會破產。 但更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以低於市價的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東的股權,以彌補其資產負債表。 當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,特別是在資產密集型企業。 當我們考慮一家公司使用債務時,我們首先會一起看現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does HONG RI DA Technology Carry?

鴻日達科技的債務有多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 HONG RI DA Technology had debt of CN¥520.4m, up from CN¥392.0m in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥542.5m in cash, leading to a CN¥22.1m net cash position.

下面的圖像,您可以點擊以獲取更詳細的信息,顯示截至2024年9月鴻日達科技的債務爲52040萬元,較一年前的39200萬元有所增加。 但另一方面,它也有54250萬元的現金,導致2210萬元的淨現金頭寸。

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SZSE:301285 Debt to Equity History November 27th 2024
SZSE:301285 債務與股本歷史 2024年11月27日

How Strong Is HONG RI DA Technology's Balance Sheet?

HONG RI DA科技的資產負債表有多強勁?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that HONG RI DA Technology had liabilities of CN¥868.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥60.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥542.5m in cash and CN¥335.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥50.4m.

深入最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到HONG RI DA科技的負債爲86820萬人民幣,12個月內到期,6000萬人民幣的負債在此之後到期。 作爲抵消,它有54250萬人民幣的現金和33530萬人民幣的應收款,都是在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債超過了其現金和(短期)應收款的總和5040萬人民幣。

This state of affairs indicates that HONG RI DA Technology's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥5.85b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, HONG RI DA Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種情況表明HONG RI DA科技的資產負債表看起來相當穩固,因爲它的總負債幾乎等於其流動資產。因此,雖然很難想象這家58.5億人民幣的公司在掙扎於現金,但我們仍認爲監控其資產負債表是值得的。儘管它的負債顯著,HONG RI DA科技仍然擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

In fact HONG RI DA Technology's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 29% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since HONG RI DA Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

實際上,HONG RI DA科技的救命稻草就是它的低債務水平,因爲它的息稅前利潤(EBIT)在過去12個月中暴跌了29%。若這一趨勢持續,下降的收益最終可能使即使是適度的債務變得非常危險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是開始的地方。但你不能孤立地看待債務;HONG RI DA科技需要收益來償還這些債務。因此,如果你想了解更多關於它的收益情況,可以查看這張它的長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. HONG RI DA Technology may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, HONG RI DA Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,一家公司只能用冷硬的現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。HONG RI DA科技可能在資產負債表上有淨現金,但查看該公司如何將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流,依然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去三年中,HONG RI DA科技的自由現金流總量顯著爲負。雖然投資者無疑期望這一情況在適當時候會逆轉,但這顯然意味着它的債務使用風險更大。

Summing Up

總之

We could understand if investors are concerned about HONG RI DA Technology's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥22.1m. So while HONG RI DA Technology does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for HONG RI DA Technology you should be aware of.

我們可以理解如果投資者對鴻日達科技的負債感到擔憂,但我們可以通過其擁有淨現金2210萬人民幣這一事實得到安慰。因此,雖然鴻日達科技的資產負債表並不出色,但也絕對不算太差。分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。但最終,每個公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。舉個例子:我們發現了2個警告信號,對於鴻日達科技你應該保持警惕。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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