There wouldn't be many who think Eagle Materials Inc.'s (NYSE:EXP) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.5x is worth a mention when the median P/E in the United States is similar at about 20x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Recent times have been advantageous for Eagle Materials as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Eagle Materials.
How Is Eagle Materials' Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Eagle Materials' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.5%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 74% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 12% as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Eagle Materials is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Eagle Materials currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Having said that, be aware Eagle Materials is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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