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IPG Photonics Corporation's (NASDAQ:IPGP) Price Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 27, 2024 20:07

IPG Photonics Corporation's (NASDAQ:IPGP) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.2x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Electronic industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 2.1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

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NasdaqGS:IPGP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 27th 2024

What Does IPG Photonics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

IPG Photonics could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think IPG Photonics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

IPG Photonics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 21%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 27% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 6.6% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 10% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that IPG Photonics' P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've concluded that IPG Photonics currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for IPG Photonics with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If you're unsure about the strength of IPG Photonics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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