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While Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals (SZSE:002693) Shareholders Have Made 471% in 3 Years, Increasing Losses Might Now Be Front of Mind as Stock Sheds 12% This Week

While Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals (SZSE:002693) Shareholders Have Made 471% in 3 Years, Increasing Losses Might Now Be Front of Mind as Stock Sheds 12% This Week

虽然双成药业(深交所代码:002693)股东在三年内获得了471%的收益,但随着股票本周下跌12%,越来越大的亏损可能现在是首要关注点。
Simply Wall St ·  11/27 20:46

The Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002693) share price is down a rather concerning 36% in the last month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been spectacular. The longer term view reveals that the share price is up 471% in that period. So the recent fall doesn't do much to dampen our respect for the business. The only way to form a view of whether the current price is justified is to consider the merits of the business itself.

海南双成药业股份有限公司(SZSE:002693)的股价在过去一个月下跌了相当令人担忧的36%。但这并不改变过去三年收益表现令人瞩目的事实。从长期来看,股价在这段时间内上涨了471%。因此,最近的下跌并没有削弱我们对该业务的尊重。判断当前价格是否合理的唯一方法就是考虑业务本身的优点。

Although Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals has shed CN¥1.4b from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

尽管海南双成药业本周市值蒸发了14亿人民币,让我们来看一下其长期基本趋势,看看是否推动了收益。

Given that Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

鉴于海南双成药业在过去十二个月内没有盈利,我们将专注于营业收入增长来快速评估其业务发展。当一家公司没有利润时,我们通常希望看到良好的营收增长。这是因为快速的营收增长往往可以轻松地推演出可观规模的利润。

Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals actually saw its revenue drop by 18% per year over three years. So it's pretty amazing to see the stock price has zoomed up 79% per year in that time. This clear lack of correlation between revenue and share price is surprising to see in a money losing company. So there is a serious possibility that some holders are counting their chickens before they hatch.

实际上,海南双成药业过去三年每年营业收入下降了18%。因此,在此期间,股价每年飙升了79%,这是非常惊人的。在一个亏损的公司中看到营收和股价之间明显的缺乏相关性实在令人惊讶。因此,有一种严重的可能性,即一些持有人在鸡蛋没孵化之前数鸡。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以看到以下收益和营收的变化情况(通过单击图像了解精确值)。

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SZSE:002693 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 28th 2024
SZSE:002693 2024年11月28日收益和营业收入增长情况

Take a more thorough look at Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

通过这份关于双成药业资产负债表的免费报告,更加全面地了解其财务状况。

A Different Perspective

另一种看法

We're pleased to report that Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 223% over one year. That's better than the annualised return of 40% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

我们很高兴地宣布,双成药业股东在过去一年中获得了总股东回报率为223%。这比过去半个世纪年化回报率为40%要好,这意味着公司近期表现更好。考虑到股价势头仍然强劲,值得更仔细地观察这支股票,以免错失机会。我觉得长期观察股价作为业务表现的一种替代很有趣。但要真正获得洞察,我们也需要考虑其他信息。例如,承担风险 - 我们认为你应该注意双成药业有 2 个警告信号。

We will like Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到内部人士有大量的买入行为,我们会更喜欢双成药业。在等待的时候,可以查看这份涵盖大量最近有重要内部人士买入的低估股票(主要是小市值股票)的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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