It's not a stretch to say that Jinko Solar Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688223) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in China, where the median P/E ratio is around 35x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Jinko Solar as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings trend will eventually fall in line with most others in the market. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.
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Is There Some Growth For Jinko Solar?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Jinko Solar's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 71%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 64% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 35% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 21% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Jinko Solar's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Jinko Solar's P/E?
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Jinko Solar currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Jinko Solar has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.