GHT Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300711) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 96% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, GHTLtd may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 14.1x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Communications industry in China have P/S ratios under 5.6x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How GHTLtd Has Been Performing
GHTLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for GHTLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is GHTLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like GHTLtd's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 49% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 38% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's alarming that GHTLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On GHTLtd's P/S
GHTLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of GHTLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with GHTLtd (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.