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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002824)?

株価は下落し、財務状況は良好です: 市場はguangdong hoshion industrial aluminiumについて間違っているのでしょうか?

Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/28 19:44

It is hard to get excited after looking at Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium's (SZSE:002824) recent performance, when its stock has declined 26% over the past week. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium is:

5.4% = CN¥93m ÷ CN¥1.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.05 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium's Earnings Growth And 5.4% ROE

When you first look at it, Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 7.4%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Despite this, surprisingly, Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium saw an exceptional 23% net income growth over the past five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 9.6% in the same period, which is great to see.

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SZSE:002824 Past Earnings Growth November 29th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium has a three-year median payout ratio of 35% (where it is retaining 65% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. So it seems that Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Besides, Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium has been paying dividends over a period of eight years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 38%. However, Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium's ROE is predicted to rise to 12% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Even in spite of the low rate of return, the company has posted impressive earnings growth as a result of reinvesting heavily into its business. We also studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that the company's earnings growth is expected be similar to its current growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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