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Earnings Update: Woodward, Inc. (NASDAQ:WWD) Just Reported Its Full-Year Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 29, 2024 03:46

The annual results for Woodward, Inc. (NASDAQ:WWD) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. Woodward reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of US$3.3b and statutory earnings per share of US$6.01, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

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NasdaqGS:WWD Earnings and Revenue Growth November 29th 2024

After the latest results, the eleven analysts covering Woodward are now predicting revenues of US$3.40b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a modest 2.2% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to shrink 4.9% to US$6.00 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$3.39b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$5.83 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

The consensus price target was unchanged at US$189, implying that the improved earnings outlook is not expected to have a long term impact on value creation for shareholders. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Woodward at US$228 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$151. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Woodward shareholders.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Woodward's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 2.2% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 3.8% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 4.7% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Woodward.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Woodward's earnings potential next year. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Woodward's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$189, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Woodward analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

It might also be worth considering whether Woodward's debt load is appropriate, using our debt analysis tools on the Simply Wall St platform, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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