Despite an already strong run, Hangzhou Kaierda Welding Robot Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688255) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. Looking further back, the 11% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Following the firm bounce in price, Hangzhou Kaierda Welding RobotLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 76.4x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 35x and even P/E's below 20x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Hangzhou Kaierda Welding RobotLtd certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hangzhou Kaierda Welding RobotLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Growth For Hangzhou Kaierda Welding RobotLtd?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hangzhou Kaierda Welding RobotLtd would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 105% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 56% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 39% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Hangzhou Kaierda Welding RobotLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has got Hangzhou Kaierda Welding RobotLtd's P/E rushing to great heights as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Hangzhou Kaierda Welding RobotLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Hangzhou Kaierda Welding RobotLtd you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Hangzhou Kaierda Welding RobotLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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