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Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group Limited's (HKG:1341) Shares Climb 36% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 29, 2024 16:47

Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group Limited (HKG:1341) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 36% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 59% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 24.2x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Trade Distributors industry have P/S ratios below 0.5x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

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SEHK:1341 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 29th 2024

What Does Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 17%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 19% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 3.2% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

The strong share price surge has lead to Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group's P/S soaring as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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