BCE Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BCE Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
Most investors are familiar with BCE (TSX:BCE) as one of Canada's big telecoms. The one-time darling of dividend investors has seen its stock price decline over the past year. This also begs the question, is BCE stock still a good buy, or should investors sell it now?
大多数投资者都会对BCE (tsx:BCE)这家加拿大大型电信公司感到熟悉。曾经是股息投资者宠儿的BCE,其股价在过去一年中一直下滑。这也引发了一个问题,BCE股票现在还是一个好的买入时机,还是投资者应该现在卖出?
Let's try to answer that question
让我们来尝试回答这个问题
All about BCE stock (and its current problems)
关于BCE股票(及其当前问题)的所有信息
BCE operates both a media business and offers traditional telecom services. Those services are subscriber-based and include wireless, wireline, TV, and internet services to customers across the country.
BCE同时运营着媒体业务和传统电信服务。这些服务是基于订阅的,包括无线、固定电话、电视和互联网服务,面向全国客户提供。
In recent years, those segments have become increasingly defensive and necessary. This is thanks to the growing need for a fast, stable mobile and home internet connection. At the same time, rising costs also took a toll on the ad revenues stemming from BCE's media business.
近年来,这些细分市场变得愈发防御性和必要。这要归功于对快速、稳定的移动和家庭互联网连接日益增长的需求。与此同时,成本上升也给BCE的媒体业务带来了广告收入压力。
In short, operating a telecom is a very expensive business that requires massive amounts of capital to fund growth and a myriad of programs. As interest rates surged, the cost of servicing that existing debt rose, as did the cost of taking on any new debt.
简而言之,运营一家电信公司是一项非常昂贵的业务,需要大量的资本来资助增长和众多项目。随着利率的飙升,现有债务的服务成本上升,同时承担任何新债务的成本也随之增加。
As a result, BCE was forced to slash costs, which included a smaller annual dividend increase last year, and a series of deep cuts announced earlier this year across its media business.
因此,BCE被迫削减成本,包括去年较小的年度股息增长,以及今年早些时候在其媒体业务宣布的一系列大幅裁员。
Let's talk results
让我们谈谈结果
Earlier today, BCE announced results for the third fiscal. In that quarter, BCE reported EBITDA growth of 2.1% when compared with the same quarter last year. The company also reported free cash flow of $832 million, reflecting a 10.3% increase over the prior period.
今天早些时候,BCE公布了第三财政季度的业绩。在该季度,BCE报告的EBITDA增长为2.1%,与去年同季度相比。公司还报告自由现金流为83200万,较前期增长10.3%。
Overall, the company reported a net loss of $1.2 billion in the quarter, reflecting a decrease of $1.9 billion over the prior period. The decline was largely attributed to non-cash impairment charges leading back to BCE's media segment.
总体而言,公司在本季度报告净亏损为12亿,较前期减少19亿。这一下降主要归因于与BCE的媒体部门相关的非现金减值费用。
On a more positive note, BCE posted positive numbers for both its core wireless and internet subscriber activations. This includes 158,412 wireless and connected device activations and 42,415 internet subscriber activations.
更积极的是,BCE在其核心无线和互联网用户激活方面都公布了积极的数据。这包括158,412个无线和连接设备激活以及42,415个互联网用户激活。
Bell Media revenue also saw a 10.1% bump in revenue, and digital revenue surged 19% in the quarter.
Bell Media的营业收入也增长了10.1%,数字收入在本季度增长了19%。
What is BCE's solution (and what should you do?)
BCE的解决方案是什么(你该怎么做?)
Recently, BCE sold off its share in Maple Leaf Sports & Entertainment (MLSE) for a whopping $4.7 billion. Investors were initially positive about this transaction, noting it could help pay down BCE's considerable debt.
最近,BCE以高达47亿的价格出售了对枫叶体育及娱乐(MLSE)的股份。投资者最初对这笔交易持积极态度,认为这可以帮助偿还BCE的巨额债务。
But that's not what BCE did. The company instead acquired U.S.-based Ziply Fiber. The deal looks to bolster BCE's presence in the U.S. fiber market, which remains underserved. Ziply has a presence across 4 U.S. states with over 1.3 million connections. The company is also on track to see that number hit 3 million in the next few years.
但BCE并没有这样做。公司反而收购了总部位于美国的Ziply Fiber。此交易旨在增强BCE在美国光纤市场的存在,目前该市场仍然供不应求。Ziply在美国四个州有超过130万条连接。公司也正在朝着在未来几年内达到300万条连接的目标前进。
BCE also decided to pause its annual dividend upticks. As of the time of writing, this leaves BCE's quarterly dividend at an inflated if not insane 10% yield.
BCE还决定暂停年度股息的增加。截至撰写时,BCE的季度股息保持在一个膨胀的甚至是疯狂的10%收益率。
Is BCE stock a good buy?
BCE股票适合买入吗?
No stock, even a top defensive pick (as BCE historically was viewed as) is without some risk. In the case of BCE, the company's wide defensive moat remains one of the few advantages (albeit smaller) that the company still holds.
没有哪只股票是没有风险的,即使是顶级的防御型选择(正如BCE历史上被视为的那样)。在BCE的情况下,公司的广泛防御护城河仍然是该公司拥有的少数优势之一(尽管较小)。
That being said, BCE still offers some long-term appeal to existing investors and an opportunity to purchase a small position at a very discounted rate for new investors.
尽管如此,BCE仍然为现有投资者提供了一些长期吸引力,并为新投资者购买小额头寸提供了一个非常折扣的机会。
In my opinion, a small position in BCE is warranted as part of a larger, well-diversified portfolio.
在我看来,将BCE的小额头寸纳入更大、更具多样化的投资组合是合理的。