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We Think Yunnan Tourism (SZSE:002059) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 30 10:19

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Yunnan Tourism Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002059) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

How Much Debt Does Yunnan Tourism Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Yunnan Tourism had debt of CN¥530.9m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥973.6m over a year. However, it does have CN¥289.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥241.9m.

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SZSE:002059 Debt to Equity History November 30th 2024

How Healthy Is Yunnan Tourism's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Yunnan Tourism had liabilities of CN¥1.30b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥547.4m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥289.0m in cash and CN¥352.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.21b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Yunnan Tourism is worth CN¥5.79b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Yunnan Tourism's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Yunnan Tourism reported revenue of CN¥797m, which is a gain of 83%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

Even though Yunnan Tourism managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥392m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥112m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Yunnan Tourism that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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