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ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp., Ltd. (SZSE:301017) Soars 26% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

Simply Wall St ·  08:01

Despite an already strong run, ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp., Ltd. (SZSE:301017) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 34% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Consumer Retailing industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

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SZSE:301017 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 1st 2024

How Has ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Performed Recently?

Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.9%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 94% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy's P/S?

ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

To our surprise, ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy.

If you're unsure about the strength of ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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