The Wisesoft Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002253) share price has softened a substantial 31% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. The last month has meant the stock is now only up 8.2% during the last year.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in China's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 7.2x, you may still consider Wisesoft as a stock to avoid entirely with its 20.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
SZSE:002253 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 1st 2024
How Has Wisesoft Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Wisesoft over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Wisesoft will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Wisesoft would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.4% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 52% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 32% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Wisesoft's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What Does Wisesoft's P/S Mean For Investors?
Even after such a strong price drop, Wisesoft's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Wisesoft revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Wisesoft that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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