The Three-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Pacific Basin Shipping's (HKG:2343 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 7.5% in Past Week
The Three-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Pacific Basin Shipping's (HKG:2343 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 7.5% in Past Week
As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. We regret to report that long term Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (HKG:2343) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 40% in three years, versus a market decline of about 2.8%. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 24% in the last year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 14% in the last three months.
作为投资者,确保你的整体投资组合超越市场平均水平是值得努力的。但在任何投资组合中,可能会有一些股票未能达到这一基准。我们很遗憾地报告,长期以来,太平洋航运有限公司(HKG:2343)股东经历了这一情况,股价在三年内下跌了40%,而市场整体下跌约2.8%。而且,近期购买者也遇到了困难,过去一年股价下跌了24%。最近股价下跌加速,在过去三个月中下跌了14%。
Since Pacific Basin Shipping has shed HK$764m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
由于太平洋航运在过去7天内价值损失了76400万港元,让我们看看长期下跌是否是由业务经济因素驱动的。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
市场有时毫无疑问是有效的,但股票价格并不总是反映基本业务表现。一种有缺陷但合理的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)和股票价格,以评估围绕公司的情绪如何变化。
Pacific Basin Shipping saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 24% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 16% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. This suggests that the market retains some optimism around long term earnings stability, despite past EPS declines.
太平洋航运过去三年的每股收益以24%的复合年率下降。相比之下,16%的复合年股价下降并没有每股收益的下降那么严重。这表明尽管过去的每股收益下降,市场仍然对长期收益的稳定性保持一些乐观。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到EPS随时间的变化如下(通过单击图像了解确切数值)。
We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
我们喜欢看到内部人在过去12个月内购买了股票。话虽如此,大多数人认为收益和营业收入增长趋势更能指导业务。在购买或出售股票之前,我们始终建议密切审查历史增长趋势,在这里可以找到。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Pacific Basin Shipping, it has a TSR of -6.0% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。而股价回报仅反映股价的变化,TSR则包括分红派息的价值(假设这些分红派息被再投资)以及任何折扣资本筹集或分拆的益处。因此,对于支付慷慨分红派息的公司,TSR通常要远高于股价回报。就太平洋航运而言,它在过去3年中的TSR为-6.0%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。这主要是其分红派息支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
Investors in Pacific Basin Shipping had a tough year, with a total loss of 20% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 18%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 14% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Pacific Basin Shipping that you should be aware of before investing here.
太平洋航运的投资者在过去一年经历了一年的艰难,总损失达到20%(包括分红派息),而市场则上涨了约18%。不过,请记住,即使是最好的股票在12个月期间有时也会表现不佳。好的一面是,长期股东获得了收益,过去五年每年增长14%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此值得查看基本数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。尽管考虑市场条件对股价的不同影响是非常重要的,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,我们发现太平洋航运有两个警告信号,您在这里投资之前应当了解。
Pacific Basin Shipping is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find lesser know companies this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
太平洋航运并不是唯一一个内部人士在买入的股票。对于那些喜欢寻找鲜为人知的公司的投资者来说,这份关于近期内部人士购入的成长型公司的免费名单可能正是您所需要的。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
请注意,本文引述的市场回报率反映了目前在香港交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报率。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。