Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Fujian Longking (SHSE:600388)
Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Fujian Longking (SHSE:600388)
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Fujian Longking (SHSE:600388) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
如果我們想要找到下一個多倍賺錢的股票,有一些關鍵趨勢需要關注。在其他因素中,我們希望看到兩件事情;首先,資本僱用率(ROCE)增長,其次,公司資本僱用額度的擴大。簡而言之,這類企業是複利機器,這意味着它們不斷以越來越高的回報率再投資其收益。話雖如此,從第一眼看到龍淨環保(SHSE:600388),我們並未因回報趨勢而激動不已,但讓我們深入了解一下。
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
上面您可以看到蒙托克可再生能源現行ROCE與之前資本回報的比較,但過去只能知道這麼多。如果您感興趣,可以查看我們免費的蒙托克可再生能源分析師報告,了解分析師的預測。
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Fujian Longking, this is the formula:
對於不了解的人,ROCE是公司每年稅前利潤(其回報)與企業的資本僱用額度相關的衡量指標。要爲龍淨環保計算這一指標,可以使用以下公式:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
資本利用率 = 利息和稅前利潤(EBIT) ÷ (總資產 - 流動負債)
0.069 = CN¥928m ÷ (CN¥27b - CN¥13b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
0.069 = 92800萬人民幣 ÷ (270億人民幣 - 130億人民幣)(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。
Therefore, Fujian Longking has an ROCE of 6.9%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 5.2% generated by the Machinery industry, it's much better.
因此,龍淨環保的ROCE爲6.9%。單獨看來,這是一個較低的回報率,但與機械行業平均5.2%相比,要好得多。
In the above chart we have measured Fujian Longking's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Fujian Longking for free.
在上面的圖表中,我們測量了龍淨環保先前的資本回報率與其先前的表現,但未來可能更重要。如果您願意,您可以免費查看分析師對龍淨環保的預測。
The Trend Of ROCE
ROCE趨勢
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Fujian Longking, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 14% over the last five years. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
當我們研究龍淨環保的資本回報率趨勢時,並沒有得到太多的信心。具體來說,過去五年中,資本回報率從14%下降。由於企業正在使用更多資本,而營業收入卻有所下滑,這有點令人擔憂。這可能意味着企業正在失去競爭優勢或市場份額,因爲雖然投入更多資金進行投資,實際上卻產生了較低的回報 - 可以說是「以較少的成本獲得更少的回報」。
On a side note, Fujian Longking has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 49% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE. Either way, they're still at a pretty high level, so we'd like to see them fall further if possible.
另外值得一提的是,龍淨環保已經成功將其流動負債支付至總資產的49%。所以我們可以將這部分與資本回報率的下降聯繫起來。事實上,這意味着他們的供應商或短期債權人對企業的資助減少,從而降低了一些風險元素。由於企業基本上正在用自己的資金更多地支持其業務運作,您可以主張這使企業在產生資本回報率方面效率更低。無論如何,它們仍然處於相當高的水平,所以如果可能的話,我們希望看到它們進一步下降。
In Conclusion...
最後,同等資本下回報率較低的趨勢通常不是我們關注創業板股票的最佳信號。由於這些發展進行良好,因此投資者不太可能表現友好。自五年前以來,該股下跌了32%。除非這些指標朝着更積極的軌跡轉變,否則我們將繼續尋找其他股票。
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Fujian Longking's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. But investors must be expecting an improvement of sorts because over the last five yearsthe stock has delivered a respectable 43% return. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
總而言之,我們對龍淨環保在不斷增加的資本上獲得的回報較爲擔憂。但投資者必須期待某種改善,因爲過去五年,該股票已經獲得了可觀的43%回報。儘管如此,我們對基本面並不感到太舒適,因此我們暫時會避開這隻股票。
If you want to continue researching Fujian Longking, you might be interested to know about the 4 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.
如果您想繼續研究龍淨環保,您可能會對我們分析發現的4個警告標誌感興趣。
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
如果您想尋找財務狀況良好、回報卓越的實力強企業,可以免費查看以下公司列表。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。