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There's Reason For Concern Over Shenzhen Kingsun Science & Technology Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300235) Massive 29% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 2 00:03

Despite an already strong run, Shenzhen Kingsun Science & Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300235) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 7.6% isn't as attractive.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Entertainment industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 6.9x, you may consider Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 29.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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SZSE:300235 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 2nd 2024

How Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd Has Been Performing

Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 13% last year. Still, revenue has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 34% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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