West China Cement Limited (HKG:2233) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 139% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may consider West China Cement as a stock to avoid entirely with its 30.5x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, West China Cement's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
SEHK:2233 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 2nd 2024 Keen to find out how analysts think West China Cement's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, West China Cement would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 75%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 85% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 103% per annum during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 12% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that West China Cement's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has got West China Cement's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of West China Cement's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for West China Cement that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than West China Cement. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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