Guangdong TianYiMa Information Industry Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:301178) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 4.9% over the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Guangdong TianYiMa Information IndustryLtd's P/S ratio of 5.6x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the IT industry in China is also close to 4.8x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
What Does Guangdong TianYiMa Information IndustryLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
It looks like revenue growth has deserted Guangdong TianYiMa Information IndustryLtd recently, which is not something to boast about. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to only match most other companies at best over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guangdong TianYiMa Information IndustryLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Guangdong TianYiMa Information IndustryLtd?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Guangdong TianYiMa Information IndustryLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. That's essentially a continuation of what we've seen over the last three years, as its revenue growth has been virtually non-existent for that entire period. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has definitely eluded the company recently.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 20% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Guangdong TianYiMa Information IndustryLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Guangdong TianYiMa Information IndustryLtd's P/S
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Guangdong TianYiMa Information IndustryLtd's P/S is back within range of the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Guangdong TianYiMa Information IndustryLtd's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Guangdong TianYiMa Information IndustryLtd that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Guangdong TianYiMa Information IndustryLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.