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Hainan Poly Pharm (SZSE:300630) Adds CN¥615m to Market Cap in the Past 7 Days, Though Investors From Three Years Ago Are Still Down 77%

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 3 07:01

Hainan Poly Pharm. Co., Ltd (SZSE:300630) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 29% in the last quarter. But only the myopic could ignore the astounding decline over three years. Indeed, the share price is down a whopping 77% in the last three years. So it's about time shareholders saw some gains. But the more important question is whether the underlying business can justify a higher price still.

While the stock has risen 13% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

Given that Hainan Poly Pharm didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.

In the last three years Hainan Poly Pharm saw its revenue shrink by 10% per year. That's not what investors generally want to see. Having said that the 21% annualized share price decline highlights the risk of investing in unprofitable companies. This business clearly needs to grow revenues if it is to perform as investors hope. Don't let a share price decline ruin your calm. You make better decisions when you're calm.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

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SZSE:300630 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 2nd 2024

This free interactive report on Hainan Poly Pharm's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

Hainan Poly Pharm shareholders are down 52% for the year, but the market itself is up 7.8%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 11% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Hainan Poly Pharm better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Hainan Poly Pharm has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

But note: Hainan Poly Pharm may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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