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We Think Aotecar New Energy Technology (SZSE:002239) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think Aotecar New Energy Technology (SZSE:002239) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我們認爲奧特佳(深交所代碼:002239)在其債務方面承擔了一些風險
Simply Wall St ·  12/03 09:44

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Aotecar New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002239) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

大衛·伊本說得好:『波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。』所以,聰明的錢知道,債務——這通常與破產有關——是評估一家公司風險時很重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,奧特佳新能母基科技有限公司(深證證券代碼:002239)也使用了債務。但是,更重要的問題是:這些債務造成了多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

借款是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法償還債權人,那麼它就處於他們的支配之下。資本主義的一部分是「創造性破壞」的過程,失敗的企業經常會被銀行家無情地清算。然而,更常見的情況是公司必須以較低的股價稀釋股東,以便控制債務。通過取代股份稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資於增長的企業的極好工具。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。

How Much Debt Does Aotecar New Energy Technology Carry?

奧特佳新能母基的債務有多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Aotecar New Energy Technology had CN¥1.61b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥1.71b, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.97b in cash, so it actually has CN¥352.9m net cash.

您可以點擊下面的圖形查看歷史數據,但它顯示到2024年9月,奧特佳新能母基的債務爲16.1億人民幣,較去年減少了17.1億人民幣。然而,其資產負債表顯示它擁有19.7億人民幣的現金,所以實際上它有35290萬人民幣的淨現金。

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SZSE:002239 Debt to Equity History December 3rd 2024
深證證券代碼:002239 債務與股本歷史 2024年12月3日

A Look At Aotecar New Energy Technology's Liabilities

奧特佳新能母基的負債情況分析

The latest balance sheet data shows that Aotecar New Energy Technology had liabilities of CN¥6.10b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥602.3m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.97b in cash and CN¥3.03b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.71b.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,奧特佳新能母基的負債爲61億人民幣,需在一年內償還,60230萬人民幣的負債在之後到期。對此,它擁有19.7億人民幣的現金和30.3億人民幣的應收賬款,12個月內到期。因此,它的負債比現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和多出17.1億人民幣。

Given Aotecar New Energy Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥8.67b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Aotecar New Energy Technology also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

鑑於奧特佳新能母基的市值爲86.7億人民幣,很難相信這些負債會造成太大威脅。儘管如此,顯然我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免其情況變壞。雖然它確實有值得注意的負債,但奧特佳新能母基的現金多於債務,因此我們相當有信心它能夠安全地管理其債務。

It is just as well that Aotecar New Energy Technology's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 36% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Aotecar New Energy Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

奧特佳新能母基的負擔並不重,因爲其息稅前利潤EBIT在過去一年下降了36%。如果這種趨勢持續,下降的收益最終可能使即使是適度的債務也變得相當風險。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但將會影響資產負債表未來表現的還是奧特佳新能母基的收益。因此,如果你想進一步了解它的收益,查看這張它長期收益趨勢的圖表可能是值得的。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Aotecar New Energy Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last two years, Aotecar New Energy Technology created free cash flow amounting to 19% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

但我們的最終考慮同樣重要,因爲一家公司無法用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要冷硬的現金。儘管奧特佳新能母基的資產負債表上有淨現金,但依然值得關注它將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們理解它是多快在增加(或減少)那筆現金餘額。在過去兩年中,奧特佳新能母基創造的自由現金流相當於其EBIT的19%,表現不佳。對我們來說,這樣低的現金轉化率讓我們對其償還債務的能力產生了一絲擔憂。

Summing Up

總之

While Aotecar New Energy Technology does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥352.9m. So while Aotecar New Energy Technology does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Aotecar New Energy Technology you should know about.

雖然奧特佳在流動資產方面的負債更多,但它的淨現金爲35290萬人民幣。雖然奧特佳的資產負債表並不出色,但也並非太糟糕。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是要關注的重點。但最終,每個公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。這些風險可能很難識別。每個公司都有這樣的風險,我們發現了奧特佳新能母基的一個警告信號,您應該了解。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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