If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group (SHSE:600648) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.055 = CN¥1.3b ÷ (CN¥45b - CN¥22b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Therefore, Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group has an ROCE of 5.5%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 5.0% average generated by the Trade Distributors industry.
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group.
The Trend Of ROCE
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 7.1% over the last five years. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 49%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
The Bottom Line On Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group's ROCE
To conclude, we've found that Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 16% in the last five years. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
One final note, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group (including 1 which is significant) .
While Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.