Those holding Intchains Group Limited (NASDAQ:ICG) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 43% over that time.
Following the firm bounce in price, Intchains Group may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 9.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.2x and even P/S lower than 1.7x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Intchains Group Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Intchains Group has been doing relatively well. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Intchains Group.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Intchains Group?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Intchains Group's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 202% last year. Still, revenue has fallen 29% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 108% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 40%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this information, we can see why Intchains Group is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Intchains Group's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our look into Intchains Group shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Intchains Group that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.