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Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Spectral AI, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDAI) Even After 50% Share Price Boost

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 3, 2024 20:22

The Spectral AI, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDAI) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 50%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 27% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, Spectral AI's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Medical Equipment industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.4x and even P/S above 8x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqCM:MDAI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 3rd 2024

What Does Spectral AI's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Spectral AI as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Spectral AI.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Spectral AI?

Spectral AI's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 45%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 68% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 41% each year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.2% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Spectral AI's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Spectral AI's P/S close to the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

A look at Spectral AI's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Spectral AI (2 are significant!) that we have uncovered.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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