Sichuan Etrol Technologies Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300370) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 42% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 47%.
Since its price has surged higher, Sichuan Etrol Technologies may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 13.5x, since almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.5x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
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How Sichuan Etrol Technologies Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Sichuan Etrol Technologies' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sichuan Etrol Technologies' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Sichuan Etrol Technologies?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Sichuan Etrol Technologies' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 1.9% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 29% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 27% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that Sichuan Etrol Technologies' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Sichuan Etrol Technologies' P/S
The strong share price surge has lead to Sichuan Etrol Technologies' P/S soaring as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Sichuan Etrol Technologies currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Sichuan Etrol Technologies you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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